Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir DzumhurParma Round of 32

Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#261ATP
1556ELO
1527Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#103ATP
1649ELO
1615Clay ELO
$421kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLLL

Buvaysar Gadamauri faces Damir Dzumhur in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Damir Dzumhur is the paper favourite — ranked #103, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Buvaysar Gadamauri arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Damir Dzumhur's 3.

Key context

  • Surface form: Buvaysar Gadamauri 7 of 10, Damir Dzumhur 3 of 10 on clay recently — Buvaysar Gadamauri the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Gadamauri B.47%
Dzumhur D.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1526
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1556
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1649
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.38 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
66%1st serve in+3%69%
68%1st serve points won+6%62%
54%2nd serve points won+6%48%
63%Service points won+5%58%
39%Return points won+1%38%
67%Break points saved+15%52%
3.4Aces / match+2.70.7
3Double faults / match+1.41.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.