Petr Bar Biryukov vs Stefano Travaglia — Parma Round of 32
Bar Biryukov P.
Petr Bar Biryukov faces Stefano Travaglia in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia holds the paper edge — ranked #134, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Travaglia S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Petr Bar Biryukov's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Stefano Travaglia's has cooled.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match- Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBar Biryukov P.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Travaglia S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.