Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia — Parma Round of 16
Carballes Baena R.
Roberto Carballes Baena faces Stefano Travaglia in the Parma round of 16 on clay. Stefano Travaglia holds the paper edge — ranked #134. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Roberto Carballes Baena ahead 1–0 on clay.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Roberto Carballes Baena 168 games in 14 days, Stefano Travaglia 32.
- Under pressure: Roberto Carballes Baena has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 62 vs Stefano Travaglia's 34).
- Last match: Roberto Carballes Baena dropped just 5 games past Miguel Damas.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCarballes Baena R.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 111 games (7d) · Travaglia S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-01 | Great Ocean Road Open | R64 | hard | Stefano Travaglia | 2-6 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2019-07-22 | Gstaad | R16 | clay | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-2 6-4 |