Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano — Parma Round of 32
Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Franco Agamenone faces Stefano Napolitano in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Stefano Napolitano is the paper favourite — ranked #243, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Franco Agamenone arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Stefano Napolitano's 1.
Key context
- Surface form: Franco Agamenone 3 of 5, Stefano Napolitano 1 of 5 on clay recently — Franco Agamenone the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Franco Agamenone carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCAgamenone F.31%
Napolitano S.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Napolitano S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1454
Surface ELO6.2+100 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap6.2Overall Elo 1568
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
6.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form67%1st serve in+5%62%
65%1st serve points won+9%74%
46%2nd serve points won+13%59%
59%Service points won+9%68%
44%Return points won+8%36%
63%Break points saved+9%54%
1.8Aces / match+2.94.7
2.9Double faults / match+1.41.5
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.