Jesper De Jong vs Laslo Djere — Parma Round of 32
De Jong J.
Jesper De Jong faces Laslo Djere in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Laslo Djere is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Jesper De Jong rides a 5-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Djere L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jesper De Jong comes in with 1 days of rest and 133 games in 14d, vs Laslo Djere's 6 and 26.
- Win streak: Jesper De Jong arrives on a 5-match winning run.
- Head-to-head: Laslo Djere leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Halle 2025.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDe Jong J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 103 games (7d) · Djere L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Q2 | grass | Laslo Djere | 6-4 6-0 |