M25 Sapporo 2026: Schedule, Results & Stats
- Surface
- Hard
- Draw
- 32
- Dates
- 6–13 September 2026
- Location
- Japan
M25 Sapporo is a men's ITF tournament held in Japan. The 2026 edition takes place 6–13 September 2026 on hard courts. The singles draw features 32 players competing from the round of 32 through to the final. This page provides the full schedule, live scores and complete results for the current edition, with each match linking to detailed head-to-head records, recent form and pre-match analysis.
Hard courts give a true, medium-paced bounce that suits all-court tennis and rewards clean, consistent ball-striking.
Title chances
Most likely champions
- 1Saitoh K.63%100%
- 2Roddick J.37%100%
Each player's chance of winning the title, from a Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M25 Sapporo draw (31 matches played). Every hypothetical match is decided by each player's surface Elo, shrunk toward overall Elo on a thin surface sample. Updated as results come in. How it works.
Draw luck
How much the bracket helped or hurt each contender — their title chance in this draw versus an average random draw, in percentage points. A kinder draw lifts the number; a tougher path lowers it. How it works.
Kindest draw
- Chan Hong S.+1.2pp
- Tanuma R.+0.8pp
- Tange S.+0.8pp
- Yi Lee K.+0.8pp
Toughest draw
- Shiraishi H.−1.5pp
- Takahashi Y.−0.7pp
- Chung Y.−0.6pp
- Kikuchi Y.−0.5pp
Field strength
How strong this draw is by Umpiry Rating — and, once it's over, how hard the champion's path actually was. How it works.
The field
Schedule
Results
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite to win M25 Sapporo 2026?
Based on Umpiry's Title chances projection, Keisuke Saitoh currently has the highest probability of winning at 63%, followed by J. Roddick (37%) and Alejandro Hayen (<1%). The probabilities are calculated by simulating the remaining draw and update after every match.
Who does Umpiry project to win M25 Sapporo 2026?
Keisuke Saitoh is the most likely champion (63%) in Umpiry's Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M25 Sapporo draw. The Projection tab traces their most likely route to the title — their projected opponent in each round — and updates after every result.
What surface is M25 Sapporo played on?
M25 Sapporo is played on hard.
What category is M25 Sapporo?
M25 Sapporo is part of the ITF.