Makoto Ochi vs Seiya Nakanishi β€” M25 Sapporo Qualifying Round of 16

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Qualifying Round of 16
#1152ATP
30 yrs Β· 175 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Monday, 7 September 2026 Β·
hard
#2011ATP
30 yrs Β· 188 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Ochi M.
6-4 6-2
Nakanishi S.
Ochi M.
662
Nakanishi S.
420

Makoto Ochi defeated Seiya Nakanishi 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Sapporo tournament. Ochi and Nakanishi were tied at 0 aces and 0 double faults, respectively. Ochi converted 22% of break points and won two service breaks to Nakanishi's one, while Nakanishi converted 50% of break points.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 00:50 UTC
Ochi M.81%
Nakanishi S.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite Β· Ochi M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20Β°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw