Y. Tanaka vs Keisuke Saitoh β€” M25 Sapporo Round of 16

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#1967ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWWLLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 10 September 2026 Β·
hard
#672ATP
$9kYTD
$71kCAREER
25 yrs Β· 163 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWWLLWW
Tanaka Y.
4-6 2-6
Saitoh K.
Tanaka Y.
420
Saitoh K.
662

Keisuke Saitoh defeated Y. Tanaka 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Sapporo tournament. Saitoh did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Tanaka hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault. Saitoh won the match without converting or facing a break point, and neither player earned a service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
56%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
56%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
48%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
53%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
42%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
56%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
0.5
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 00:50 UTC
Tanaka Y.27%
Saitoh K.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Saitoh K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22Β°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw