Riku Takahata vs Chase Ferguson β€” M25 Sapporo Round of 32

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1432ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWWLLWLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 Β·
hard
#646ATP
$6kYTD
$35kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Takahata R.
1-6 3-6
Ferguson C.
Takahata R.
130
Ferguson C.
662

Chase Ferguson defeated Riku Takahata in the Round of 32 at the M25 Sapporo tournament, winning 6-1, 6-3. Ferguson converted all of his break points and won four service breaks to Takahata's zero. Both players hit two aces, with Ferguson committing zero double faults to Takahata's one.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
71%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
67%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
52%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
62%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
38%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
64%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
2.6
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Takahata R.28%
Ferguson C.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Ferguson C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.63 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23Β°CShowers
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw