Robin Catry vs Kosuke Ogura β€” M25 Sapporo Round of 32

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#587ATP
$15kYTD
$49kCAREER
24 yrs Β· 196 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 Β·
hard
#821ATP
$8kYTD
$69kCAREER
30 yrs Β· 170 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWWWLL
Catry R.
4-6 4-6
Ogura K.
Catry R.
440
Ogura K.
662

Kosuke Ogura defeated Robin Catry in the Round of 32 of the M25 Sapporo tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4. Neither player recorded an ace, a double fault, or converted a break point in the match. Ogura and Catry were also tied at zero service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Kosuke Ogura edged a tight contest from start to finish β€” 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
46%
58%
Service points wonΒ·Even
63%
63%
Return points wonΒ·Even
38%
35%
Break points savedΒ·Even
57%
54%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
7.2
2.1
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
5.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 02:50 UTC
Catry R.79%
Ogura K.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Catry R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18Β°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw