J. Roddick vs Chase Ferguson β€” M25 Sapporo Semi-final

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Semi-final
#1142ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Saturday, 12 September 2026 Β·
hard
#646ATP
$6kYTD
$35kCAREER
27 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWLWLWWWL
Roddick J.
6-2 4-6 7-6
Ferguson C.
Roddick J.
64772
Ferguson C.
26611

John Roddick advanced to the M25 Sapporo semifinals with a three-set win over Chase Ferguson, 6-2, 4-6, 7-6. Roddick hit 8 aces to Ferguson's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Ferguson's 44%. Roddick won 5 service breaks to Ferguson's 4.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Roddick J.9/14
Ferguson C.9/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: J. Roddick closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
71%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
67%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
52%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
62%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
38%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
64%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
2.6
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 00:50 UTC
Roddick J.30%
Ferguson C.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Ferguson C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.63 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22Β°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw