Makoto Ochi vs Yuki Mochizuki β€” M25 Sapporo Round of 32

M25 Sapporo Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#1152ATP
30 yrs Β· 175 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWLWWLWLLL
0 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 Β·
hard
#664ATP
$8kYTD
$116kCAREER
28 yrs Β· 173 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
Ochi M.
3-6 6-7
Mochizuki Y.
Ochi M.
3630
Mochizuki Y.
6772

Yuki Mochizuki defeated Makoto Ochi in the Round of 32 at the M25 Sapporo tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6 in favor of Mochizuki. Key stats included Mochizuki's 4 aces and 2 double faults, compared to Ochi's 0 aces and 4 double faults; Mochizuki converted 29% of break points and secured 2 service breaks, while Ochi converted 20% and secured 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Yuki Mochizuki closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
β€”
69%
1st serve points wonΒ·
β€”
60%
2nd serve points wonΒ·
β€”
47%
Service points wonΒ·
β€”
56%
Return points wonΒ·
β€”
35%
Break points savedΒ·
β€”
51%
Aces / matchΒ·
β€”
2.3
Double faults / matchΒ·
β€”
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 00:50 UTC
Ochi M.43%
Mochizuki Y.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25Β°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw