Ryuki Matsuda vs Y. Tanaka — M25 Sapporo Round of 32

M25 Sapporo · ITF · Round of 32
JPN
Ryuki Matsuda
#764ATP
$10kYTD
$111kCAREER
26 yrs · 157 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 9 September 2026 ·
hard
JPNQ
Y. Tanaka
#1967ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLW
Matsuda R.
2-6 2-6
Tanaka Y.
Matsuda R.
220
Tanaka Y.
662

Yui Tanaka defeated Ryuki Matsuda 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Sapporo tournament. Tanaka hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Matsuda had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Tanaka converted 50% of break points and won 2 service breaks to advance.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Matsuda R.Tanaka Y.
1st serve in·
65%
—
1st serve points won·
63%
—
2nd serve points won·
48%
—
Service points won·
58%
—
Return points won·
31%
—
Break points saved·
53%
—
Aces / match·
1.5
—
Double faults / match·
1.8
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Matsuda R.68%
Tanaka Y.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Matsuda R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Matsuda R.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tanaka Y.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.00 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw