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Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel — Stockholm Qualifying Round of 8

StockholmQ8QualifyingHardSun 8 Nov · ~14:15Final2h 15m
Adrian MannarinoATP #61 · FRA
Toby SamuelATP #95 · GBR
SetsGames1
651
2
376

Toby Samuel defeated Adrian Mannarino 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 in the eighth qualifying match at the Stockholm hard-court tournament. Samuel hit 6 aces and 2 double faults, winning 74 percent of his first serves and converting 62 percent of break points. He won 6 service breaks to Mannarino's 4.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Samuel T. came through in three sets, with six breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveSamuel T. 6 · Mannarino A. 4
  • 1st-serve points wonSamuel T. 74% · Mannarino A. 49%
  • AcesSamuel T. 6 · Mannarino A. 1

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 25–5Break backMannarino A. · Broke back
  2. Set 25–6BreakSamuel T. · Broke, never broken back
  3. Set 30–1BreakSamuel T. · Broke, stayed a break up
  4. Set 31–5Break backMannarino A. · Broke back
  5. Set 31–6SetSamuel T. · Broke to take the set

Win probability during the match

i
0%Mannarino A.
100%Samuel T.
Final · 6–3 5–7 1–6
0–11–11–22–22–33–34–35–36–31–01–11–21–32–32–43–43–54–55–55–65–70–10–20–30–40–51–51–6S1 · 6–3Set 2 · 5–71–6Set 1 · 6–3S3 · 1–6Set 3 · 1–6
  1. Break by Mannarino A.
  2. Break by Mannarino A.
  3. Set won by Mannarino A.
  4. Break by Samuel T.
  5. Break by Mannarino A.
  6. Break by Samuel T.
  7. Set won by Samuel T.
  8. Break by Samuel T.
  9. Break by Samuel T.
  10. Break by Samuel T.
  11. Break by Mannarino A.
  12. Break by Samuel T.
  13. Set won by Samuel T.
Adrian MannarinoToby Samuel
Recorded during the match
Serve flowMannarino A. broken 6 times · Samuel T. broken 4 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Mannarino A.
8/14Samuel T.
10/14
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchMannarino A.Samuel T.
EvenMannarino A.Samuel T.
Late momentumSamuel T.21
6Last 12 points6
5Last 3 games10
4/10Break points5/8

Break of serve

Match statistics

Mannarino A.Samuel T.
Serve
  • 1Aces6
  • 0Double faults2
  • 64% · 60/941st serve %66% · 64/97
  • 49%1st serve points won74%
  • 62% · 21/342nd serve points won36% · 12/33
  • 53% · 50/94Service points won62% · 60/97
  • 57% · 8/14Service games held71% · 10/14
  • 44% · 4/9Break points saved60% · 6/10
Return
  • 38% · 37/97Return points won47% · 44/94
  • 25% · 16/641st return points won52% · 31/60
  • 64% · 21/332nd return points won38% · 13/34
  • 40%Break points won62%
  • 4Breaks of serve6
Points
  • 87Total points won104
  • 7Most points in a row9
  • 5Most games in a row7

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps
First-serve pointsSamuel T. won 74% of points behind the first serve, Mannarino A. 49%. Largest performance gap of the match.+25 ptsMannarino A.1st-serve pts won49%Samuel T.1st-serve pts won74%

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Mannarino A. and Samuel T. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mannarino A. went 4–4 (50%) against them, Samuel T. 1–5 (17%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 0 better-results split).

4–450%Mannarino A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–517%Samuel T. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–11Sets5–12
78–95Games73–94
1–0Tiebreaks1–3
1–0Deciding sets0–2
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Head-to-head

1 meeting · Samuel T. leads 1–0
01

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Mannarino A.Samuel T.1 918ELO1 8831 791Hard ELO1 7747–3Last 105–538Age24180 cmHeight191 cmLeftPlaysRightCareer $15.6M2026 $1.3MEarningsCareer $651K2026 $536K

Match info

  • Started~14:15 local
  • Duration2h 15m

Cite this

Toby Samuel beat Adrian Mannarino 6-3 5-7 1-6. Umpiry, "Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel — Stockholm Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-08/mannarino-vs-samuel-stockholm-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 8 November 2026).