Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino — US Open Round of 128
Tirante T.
Thiago Agustin Tirante faces Adrian Mannarino in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Thiago Agustin Tirante brings the better recent hard form (4 of 5).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Tirante T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Thiago Agustin Tirante 103 games in 14 days, Adrian Mannarino 20.
- Surface form: Thiago Agustin Tirante 4 of 5, Adrian Mannarino 1 of 5 on hard recently — Thiago Agustin Tirante the sharper of late.
- Stage: Adrian Mannarino defends last year's round of 16.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTirante T.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.