Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64
Why
Surface+123 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jodar R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1999Supports Jodar R.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on hardSupports Jodar R.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Tabilo A.
ELO1 947
Hard ELO1 796
Last 103–7
Age29
Height188 cm
EarningsCareer $6.2M2026 $1.5M
ELO2 087
Hard ELO1 872
Last 107–3
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M
Alejandro Tabilo faces Rafael Jodar in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Alejandro Tabilo comes in with 5 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Rafael Jodar's 3 and 82.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Rafael Jodar has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 86 vs 27).
- Head-to-head: Rafael Jodar leads the head-to-head 3–1. Last met at Basel 2026.
Common opponents
9 shared · last 12 monthsTabilo A. and Jodar R. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tabilo A. went 2–8 (20%) against them, Jodar R. 9–2 (82%). Jodar R. came out clearly better against 5 of 8 comparable opponents, Tabilo A. against 0.
2–820%Tabilo A. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents9–282%Jodar R. · better vs 5
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
11–19Sets20–13
150–157Games168–143
1–7Tiebreaks1–0
1–6Deciding sets6–0
vs Zverev A.#2L2-6 6-7(2) 2-6US Open · hardL1-6 3-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Medvedev D.#5L4-6 2-6Indian Wells Masters · hardW6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Lehecka J.#21L6-3 6-7 4-6Madrid Masters · clayW6-3 6-3Montreal · hard
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vs Etcheverry T.#29L6-3 6-7 4-6Rio de Janeiro · clayL5-7 4-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Michelsen A.#34L6-3 3-6 4-6Miami Masters · hardW4-6 6-3 6-3Roland Garros · clay
vs Shapovalov D.#52L5-7 6-3 4-6Tokyo · hardW7-5 4-6 7-5Cincinnati · hard- vs Hanfmann Y.#59W6-3 6-2 6-7(7) 6-3US Open · hardW6-4 4-6 6-1Miami Masters · hard
vs Carreno-Busta P.#74L6-4 6-7(2) 4-6Shanghai Masters · hardW3-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4Wimbledon · grass- vs Tirante T.#51Hard to compareW7-6 6-7 6-1Rio de Janeiro · clayW4-6 6-2 6-3Shanghai Masters · hard
Head-to-head
4 meetings · Jodar R. leads 3–113
- Jodar R.October 2026BaselHard4-6 2-6
- Jodar R.August 2026CincinnatiHard6-2 6-1
- Jodar R.August 2026WashingtonHard6-7(6) 6-4 6-4
- Tabilo A.March 2026Indian Wells MastersHard6-1 6-2
Evidence
Tabilo A.Jodar R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–77–3 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (38–29)75% (57–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19472087 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17961872 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 71 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)70%
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match6.1 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 60 vs 71 matches
Break points saved63%63%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/jodar-vs-tabilo-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).