Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | Pablo Carreno Busta Wins 4-6 7-6 6-4

UMPIRY

Shanghai MastersR64HardSat 10 Oct · ~14:30Final2h 42m

Alejandro Tabilo(29)ATP #30 · CHI

Pablo Carreno BustaATP #65 · ESP

SetsGames1

66²4

47⁷6

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Alejandro Tabilo in the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 in favor of Carreno Busta. He hit 8 aces and 3 double faults, winning 70% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points, compared to Tabilo's 9 aces, 2 double faults, 78% first-serve win percentage, and 40% break points converted.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta dropped the opening set before beating Alejandro Tabilo 4–6 7–6 6–4.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Carreno-Busta P. came through in three sets, with two breaks of serve.

Breaks of serveCarreno-Busta P. 2 · Tabilo A. 2
1st-serve points wonCarreno-Busta P. 70% · Tabilo A. 78%
AcesCarreno-Busta P. 8 · Tabilo A. 9

Turning points

When the match moved

Set 12–1BreakTabilo A. · Broke, never broken back
Set 23–3Break backCarreno-Busta P. · Broke back
Set 32–3BreakCarreno-Busta P. · Broke, never broken back

Serve flowTabilo A. broken twice · Carreno-Busta P. broken twice.

Hold to love/15
Hold to 30
Hold to 40 / deuce
Broken
Result unknown

Tabilo A.

14/16Carreno-Busta P.

14/16

Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchTabilo A.Carreno-Busta P.

Late momentumCarreno-Busta P.43

5Last 12 points7

13Last 3 games10

2/5Break points2/5

Break of serve

Match statistics

Tabilo A.Carreno-Busta P.

Serve

9Aces8
2Double faults3
78%1st serve points won70%
88% · 14/16Service games held88% · 14/16

Return

40%Break points won40%
2Breaks of serve2

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Tabilo A. and Carreno-Busta P. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tabilo A. went 6–8 (43%) against them, Carreno-Busta P. 6–6 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).

6–843%Tabilo A. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents6–650%Carreno-Busta P. · better vs 3

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

17–18Sets18–17

177–169Games163–171

2–4Tiebreaks3–2

2–5Deciding sets1–3

vs Medvedev D.#5L4-6 2-6Indian Wells Masters · hardL4-6 2-6Beijing · hard
vs Jodar R.#13L7-6(6) 4-6 4-6Washington · hardL6-3 3-6 6-1 3-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Lehecka J.#19L6-3 6-7 4-6Madrid Masters · clayW6-3 6-3Roland Garros · clay

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vs Rublev A.#23L4-6 6-4 4-6Bastad · clayL6-7(5) 1-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Shapovalov D.#42L5-7 6-3 4-6Tokyo · hardW6-3 7-6 0-0Wimbledon · grass
vs Tirante T.#54W7-6 6-7 6-1Rio de Janeiro · clayW7-5 3-6 6-4Roland Garros · clay
vs Struff J.#59W6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hardW6-4 7-6ESP vs GER · hard
vs Mannarino A.#83L4-6 4-6Chengdu · hardW6-3 6-4Beijing · hard
vs Royer V.#105W6-2 6-4Madrid Masters · clayL6-1 5-7 2-6Montreal · hard
vs Fucsovics M.#134W6-4 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · clayW4-6 7-6 6-2Madrid Masters · clay

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Carreno-Busta P. leads 3–0

Carreno-Busta P.October 2026Shanghai MastersThis matchHard6-4 6-7(2) 4-6
Carreno-Busta P.October 2025Olbia CHHard6-3 1-6 7-6
Carreno-Busta P.January 2022Atp CupHard6-4 7-6

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match

Tabilo A.Carreno-Busta P.1 964ELO1 9481 815Hard ELO1 7894–6Last 104–629Age35188 cmHeight188 cmLeftPlaysRightCareer $6.2M2026 $1.5MEarningsCareer $17.9M2026 $896K

Match info

Started~14:30 local
Duration2h 42m

Cite this

Pablo Carreno Busta beat Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-7(2) 4-6. Umpiry, "Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/busta-vs-tabilo-shanghai-masters-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).