Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro TabiloAtp Cup Round Robin

Atp Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 7-6
Tabilo A.
Carreno Busta P.
6772
Tabilo A.
4640

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 7-6 in the Atp Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Tabilo A.
21
Serve
51
44
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
74
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Even
61
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
5.5+6 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw