Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo — Miami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alex Michelsen
USA
Alex Michelsen
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Alejandro Tabilo
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Michelsen A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Tabilo A.
Michelsen A.
3662
Tabilo A.
6341

Alex Michelsen defeated Alejandro Tabilo 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Tabilo A.
34
Serve
51
46
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Michelsen A.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Even
6.0
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Michelsen A.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Even
78
74
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Clear edge
46
59
Deciding sets·Even
91
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Michelsen A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Tabilo A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1750
4.7Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.3
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Michelsen A.Tabilo A.
Freshness·Clear edge
75
95

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Lehecka J.[21]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-64
Lehecka J.[21]
Fils A.[28]
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Fils A.[28]
Paul T.[22]
6-737-647-66
Lehecka J.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-617-5
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[2]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Halys Q.
7-647-61
Cerundolo F.[18]
Humbert U.[31]
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Atmane T.
6-41-66-4
Landaluce M.
Korda S.[32]
2-67-666-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Fritz T.[6]
6-46-746-2
Fils A.[28]
Vacherot V.[24]
6-46-746-4
Paul T.[22]
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-16-3
Sinner J.[2]
Michelsen A.
7-57-64
R32
Paul T.[22]
Collignon R.
6-23-67-65
Landaluce M.
Khachanov K.[14]
6-37-62
Fils A.[28]
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-1
Halys Q.
Majchrzak K.
7-646-1
Sinner J.[2]
Moutet C.[30]
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-35-76-4
Vacherot V.[24]
Berrettini M.
7-656-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Quinn E.
6-37-66
Michelsen A.
Tabilo A.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-04-67-5
Tiafoe F.[19]
Mensik J.[12]
7-644-67-611
Atmane T.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-31-66-3
Fritz T.[6]
Opelka R.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Cilic M.
6-25-76-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Jodar R.
7-56-4
Humbert U.[31]
Shevchenko A.
6-47-62
R64
Etcheverry T.[29]
Bergs Z.
7-657-63
Opelka R.
Draper J.[25]
7-637-60
Collignon R.
Cobolli F.[13]
7-56-3
Paul T.[22]
Mannarino A.
6-22-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Shelton B.[8]
6-737-636-3
Halys Q.
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
7-686-4
Jodar R.
Vukic A.
6-16-2
Zverev A.[3]
Damm M.
6-26-4
Mensik J.[12]
Walton A.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[31]
Diallo G.
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-06-3
Cerundolo F.[18]
Tirante T.
6-46-2
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
Fucsovics M.
7-637-5
Lehecka J.[21]
Kouame M.
6-27-5
Majchrzak K.
Tien L.[20]
6-24-66-2
Fils A.[28]
Blanch D.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Landaluce M.
Darderi L.[17]
6-36-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Rublev A.[15]
6-756-26-4
Berrettini M.
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Ruud C.[11]
6-47-67
Michelsen A.
Norrie C.[23]
7-56-746-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Sakamoto R.
6-7106-36-1
Khachanov K.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Cazaux A.
7-616-1
Fritz T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-726-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-37-63
Moutet C.[30]
Machac T.
6-01-66-4
Atmane T.
Rinderknech A.[26]
7-646-3
Cilic M.
Nakashima B.[27]
2-66-47-67
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fonseca J.
6-46-4
R128
Bautista Agut R.
Duckworth J.
7-637-64
Damm M.
Fearnley J.
6-00-0
Bergs Z.
Brooksby J.
7-56-2
Machac T.
Nava E.
2-66-46-1
Walton A.
Baez S.
6-26-2
Cazaux A.
Barrios Vera T.
7-56-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-666-3
Navone M.
Basilashvili N.
7-676-3
Sakamoto R.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-67-67
Landaluce M.
Giron M.
6-37-66
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-26-4
Opelka R.
Borges N.
6-766-27-65
Berrettini M.
Muller A.
6-46-2
Tabilo A.
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.
Buse I.
6-767-666-1
Diallo G.
Wu Y.
6-27-63
Tirante T.
Royer V.
7-56-797-65
Shevchenko A.
Arnaldi M.
7-656-756-2
Kouame M.
Svajda Z.
5-76-46-4
Blanch D.
Struff J.
6-33-66-3
Halys Q.
Draxl L.
6-746-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-1
Atmane T.
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2-66-37-63
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-634-67-66
Tsitsipas S.
Fery A.
6-17-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shapovalov D.
7-56-3
Michelsen A.
Bellucci M.
6-26-1
Mannarino A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Jodar R.
Hanfmann Y.
6-44-66-1
Cilic M.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Marozsan F.
6-43-66-2