Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Final
Why
Surface+48 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shnaider D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1891Supports Shnaider D.
Recent run4-match win streakInformative
Head-to-headSplit 2–2 on hardSupports Shnaider D.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 973
Hard ELO1 877
Last 108–2
Age24
Height168 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $1.8M
ELO2 061
Hard ELO1 900
Last 108–2
Age22
Height170 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $3.0M
Leylah Fernandez faces Diana Shnaider in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo final on hard. Diana Shnaider holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–2, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Leylah Fernandez grades 48 on serve, Diana Shnaider 49 on return.
- Head-to-head: Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head 3–2, 2–2 on hard. Last met at Charleston 2026.
- Last match: Diana Shnaider edged Mia Pohankova in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Common opponents
18 shared · last 12 monthsFernandez L. and Shnaider D. faced 18 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fernandez L. went 13–15 (46%) against them, Shnaider D. 14–13 (52%). Results against comparable opponents are close (6 : 6 better-results split).
13–1546%Fernandez L. · better vs 6Record vs common opponents14–1352%Shnaider D. · better vs 6
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
31–37Sets32–31
334–326Games301–284
1–10Tiebreaks2–2
7–5Deciding sets6–5
vs Rybakina E.#1L7-6 4-6 6-7Stuttgart · clayL3-6 4-6Stuttgart · clay
vs Andreeva M.#3L6-7 3-6Madrid · clayL3-6 2-6Adelaide · hard
vs Pegula J.#4L2-6 2-6Miami · hardL6-3 3-6 2-6Charleston · clay
Show 15 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Chwalinska M.#11W1-6 6-4 6-2Singapore · hardW6-2 7-6(3)Cincinnati · hard- vs Jovic I.#12W3-6 6-3 6-2Madrid · clayL4-6 6-1 0-6Dubai · hard
vs Osaka N.#18L4-6 4-6Toronto · hardL1-6 2-6Rome · clay
vs Eala A.#19L2-6 6-7(1)Washington · hardW7-5 6-4Ningbo Open - Ningbo · hard
vs Ostapenko J.#26L1-6 6-1 4-6Wuhan · hardL6-7(6) 1-6Wuhan · hard- vs Alexandrova E.#33W6-4 3-6 6-3Wuhan · hardL6-3 4-6 3-6Beijing · hard
vs Gibson T.#38W7-5 6-0Singapore · hardW5-7 6-1 6-1Rome · clay- vs Samsonova L.#43W5-7 7-5 6-3Dubai · hardL4-6 6-4 2-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Tjen J.#47L1-6 6-7Wimbledon · grassW6-0 6-4Beijing · hard
vs Boulter K.#48W6-7 6-3 6-3Bad Homburg · grassW6-3 6-1Wuhan · hard
vs Siniakova K.#49L7-5 4-6 6-7Indian Wells · hardW6-1 2-6 7-5Adelaide · hard- vs Parks A.#65L4-6 4-6Roland Garros · clayL6-1 4-6 6-7Doha · hard
vs Zarazua R.#95W6-2 6-2Toronto · hardW6-4 6-1Roland Garros · clay- vs Kessler M.#110L3-6 2-6Abu Dhabi · hardW6-1Roland Garros · clay
vs Sasnovich A.#112W7-5 6-7(3) 6-3Ningbo Open - Ningbo · hardW6-3 5-7 6-3Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · hard
Head-to-head
5 meetings · Shnaider D. leads 3–223
Clay: Shnaider D. leads 1–0 · Hard: level 2–2
- Shnaider D.March 2026CharlestonClay6-3 6-0
- Shnaider D.January 2026AdelaideHard7-5 6-3
- Shnaider D.October 2024Hong KongHard6-4 6-2
- Fernandez L.October 2024WuhanHard6-7 6-3 6-3
- Fernandez L.August 2024CincinnatiHard6-1 6-4
Evidence
Fernandez L.Shnaider D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–28–2
Season win rate53% (32–28)63% (38–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19732061 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18771900 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)64%
Return points won42%44% (ahead)
Aces / match2.7 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 57 vs 60 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)59%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-01/fernandez-vs-shnaider-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-f?utm_source=cite (as of 1 November 2026).