Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah Fernandez — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Katerina Siniakova
CZE
Katerina Siniakova
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Leylah Fernandez
CAN27
Leylah Fernandez
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Siniakova K.
5-7 6-4 7-6
Fernandez L.
Siniakova K.
56772
Fernandez L.
74611

Katerina Siniakova defeated Leylah Fernandez 5-7 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Katerina Siniakova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16NanchangSFhardKaterina Siniakova7-5 6-4
2023-10-09Hong KongFhardLeylah Fernandez3-6 6-4 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Siniakova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Fernandez L.
21
Serve
60
64
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Siniakova K.Fernandez L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Siniakova K.Fernandez L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
95
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Siniakova K.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Fernandez L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1785
4.8Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1805
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.6
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
4.2
Country comfort
5.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Siniakova K.Fernandez L.
Freshness·Even
95
98

Siniakova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rybakina E.[3]
3-66-37-66
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Noskova L.[14]
6-36-4
Rybakina E.[3]
Svitolina E.[9]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
6-17-64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mboko V.[10]
7-606-4
Svitolina E.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-24-66-4
Noskova L.[14]
Gibson T.
6-24-66-2
R16
Svitolina E.[9]
Siniakova K.
6-11-1
Rybakina E.[3]
Kartal S.
6-44-3
Noskova L.[14]
Eala A.[31]
6-26-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[16]
6-26-4
Pegula J.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
6-37-65
Gibson T.
Paolini J.[7]
7-52-66-1
Mboko V.[10]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[13]
6-26-0
R32
Eala A.[31]
Gauff C.[4]
6-22-0
Pegula J.[5]
Ostapenko J.[26]
4-66-36-2
Osaka N.[16]
Osorio C.
6-13-66-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Raducanu E.[25]
6-16-1
Muchova K.[13]
Ruzic A.
6-06-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Kostyuk M.[28]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[12]
Mertens E.[22]
6-26-3
Gibson T.
Tauson C.[17]
7-624-66-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Sakkari M.[32]
6-36-2
Kartal S.
Keys M.[15]
2-66-26-3
Svitolina E.[9]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Mboko V.[10]
Kalinskaya A.[23]
6-46-1
Siniakova K.
Andreeva M.[8]
4-67-656-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cristian J.
6-46-1
Paolini J.[7]
Tomljanovic A.
7-55-76-1
Noskova L.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-756-46-4
R64
Siniakova K.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-76-47-61
Gauff C.[4]
Rakhimova K.
6-37-65
Muchova K.[13]
Bondar A.
7-56-2
Bencic B.[12]
Hunter S.
6-36-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Day K.
6-07-62
Osorio C.
Jovic I.[18]
4-67-646-3
Noskova L.[14]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-36-3
Keys M.[15]
Parry D.
6-46-3
Raducanu E.[25]
Zakharova A.
6-16-3
Kartal S.
Navarro E.[20]
6-13-67-62
Tomljanovic A.
Wang X.[30]
6-36-1
Kostyuk M.[28]
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Paolini J.[7]
Potapova A.
6-756-26-3
Sakkari M.[32]
Tagger L.
7-56-0
Ostapenko J.[26]
Volynets K.
6-47-65
Ruzic A.
Zheng Q.[24]
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Shnaider D.[21]
6-27-60
Mboko V.[10]
Birrell K.
6-47-65
Gibson T.
Alexandrova E.[11]
6-37-5
Mertens E.[22]
Bucsa C.
6-26-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Sierra S.
6-06-0
Cristian J.
Joint M.[29]
0-66-27-5
Eala A.[31]
Yastremska D.
7-54-67-5
Anisimova A.[6]
Blinkova A.
5-76-16-0
Rybakina E.[3]
Baptiste H.
7-652-66-2
Osaka N.[16]
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[9]
Siegemund L.
7-654-66-3
Krueger A.
Samsonova L.[19]
3-67-56-2
Kalinskaya A.[23]
Sonmez Z.
6-47-64
Pegula J.[5]
Vekic D.
4-66-26-3
Tauson C.[17]
Putintseva Y.
7-696-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sakatsume H.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Sramkova R.
6-10-0
Vekic D.
Valentova T.
7-647-64
Cirstea S.
Maria T.
6-44-66-3
Osorio C.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Siegemund L.
Marcinko P.
3-66-36-4
Zakharova A.
Seidel E.
6-26-2
Bucsa C.
Vidmanova D.
6-46-0
Kartal S.
Tararudee L.
6-46-4
Gibson T.
Li A.
6-37-5
Day K.
Jones F.
6-36-1
Tagger L.
Gracheva V.
6-26-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-756-1
Townsend T.
Bouzkova M.
6-26-1
Tomljanovic A.
Ruse E.
7-56-2
Parry D.
Williams V.
6-36-746-1
Baptiste H.
Arango E.
2-66-26-3
Sonmez Z.
Kessler M.
7-676-0
Sierra S.
Stearns P.
7-57-5
Sakatsume H.
Parks A.
6-46-3
Rakhimova K.
Andreescu B.
6-766-06-1
Putintseva Y.
Badosa P.
6-46-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Mcnally C.
6-26-746-4
Cristian J.
Tjen J.
4-66-47-66
Bondar A.
Jacquemot E.
7-657-5
Siniakova K.
Kenin S.
1-66-46-1
Potapova A.
Stakusic M.
4-66-17-5
Ruzic A.
Brady J.
3-66-46-2
Birrell K.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-16-4
Blinkova A.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Krueger A.
Linette M.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Hunter S.
Frech M.
3-67-56-3