Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah FernandezNanchang Semi-final

Nanchang · WTA · Semi-final
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Siniakova K.
7-5 6-4
Fernandez L.
Siniakova K.
762
Fernandez L.
540

Katerina Siniakova defeated Leylah Fernandez 7-5 6-4 in the Nanchang semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Katerina Siniakova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR64hardKaterina Siniakova5-7 6-4 7-6(1)
2023-10-09Hong KongFhardLeylah Fernandez3-6 6-4 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Fernandez L.
21
Serve
60
64
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
95
Break points won·Even
94
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1785
4.8Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1805
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
8.7
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.3
Minutes 14d
4.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
98

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast