Renata Zarazua vs Leylah FernandezToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#92WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
$772kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 6 August 2026 ·
hard
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$8.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLWLW
Zarazua R.
2-6 2-6
Fernandez L.
Zarazua R.
220
Fernandez L.
662

Leylah Fernandez defeated Renata Zarazua in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Fernandez hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 68% of her first serves and converting 83% of break points. She converted 5 service breaks to Zarazua's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Canadian arrives well-rested as defending Washington champion, seeking to recover ranking points at home.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-24AcapulcoSFhardLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
79
Break points saved·Dominant
10
77
Break points won·Slight edge
80
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Zarazua R.30%
Fernandez L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fernandez L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1663
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1805
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Zarazua R.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fernandez L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw