Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Fernandez — Toronto Round of 64
CAN30
Zarazua R.
Renata Zarazua faces Leylah Fernandez in the Toronto round of 64 on hard. Leylah Fernandez holds the paper edge — ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fernandez L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Renata Zarazua 94 games in 14 days, Leylah Fernandez 38.
- Under pressure: Leylah Fernandez has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 83 vs Renata Zarazua's 15).
- Head-to-head: Leylah Fernandez leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Acapulco 2020.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZarazua R.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 94 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-24 | Acapulco | SF | hard | Leylah Fernandez | 6-3 6-3 |