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Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoR16HardThu 29 Oct · 02:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Rybakina E.
91%9%

Clear edge for Rybakina E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 11 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rybakina E.8.3/10
Dominant favourite
Putintseva Y.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+352 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rybakina E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2122Supports Rybakina E.
Recent run4-match win streakInformative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Rybakina E.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Rybakina E.
ELO2 269
Hard ELO2 179
Last 109–1
Age27
Height184 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $35.4M2026 $10.9M
ELO1 890
Hard ELO1 805
Last 108–2
Age31
Height163 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.7M2026 $1.1M

Elena Rybakina faces Yulia Putintseva in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo round of 16 on hard. Elena Rybakina holds the paper edge — ranked #1, a roughly 350-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2.

Key context

Common opponents

15 shared · last 12 months
All 15 opponents →

Rybakina E. and Putintseva Y. faced 15 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Rybakina E. went 21–2 (91%) against them, Putintseva Y. 8–10 (44%). Rybakina E. came out clearly better against 8 of 13 comparable opponents, Putintseva Y. against 1.

21–291%Rybakina E. · better vs 8Record vs common opponents8–1044%Putintseva Y. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
44–12Sets20–23
311–218Games193–208
3–0Tiebreaks1–2
8–1Deciding sets3–4
Show 12 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

4 meetings · level 2–2
Full H2H →
22

Hard: level 1–1 · Clay: level 1–1

Evidence

Rybakina E.Putintseva Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)8–2
Season win rate79% (53–14) (ahead)59% (34–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2269 (ahead)1890
Hard-court ELO2179 (ahead)1805
Serve vs returnLast 67 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)60%
Return points won43%46% (ahead)
Aces / match6.4 (ahead)1.3
ClutchLast 67 vs 54 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Rybakina E.Putintseva Y.
3 — fresherDays since last match1
4Matches · 7 days3 — fresher
65 — fresherGames · 7 days73
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
65 — fresherGames · 14 days130
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-29/putintseva-vs-rybakina-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 29 October 2026).