Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia PutintsevaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#121WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLWWL
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#80WTA
1805ELO
1758Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLWW
Zheng Q.
vs
Putintseva Y.

Qinwen Zheng faces Yulia Putintseva in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Yulia Putintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #80, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64 — but Qinwen Zheng arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Yulia Putintseva's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Zheng Q.69%
Putintseva Y.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Zheng Q. 0–5 · Putintseva Y. 2–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1758
5.6Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1805
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Putintseva Y.

Putintseva Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
48
Break points saved·Dominant
86
29
Break points won·Even
98
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
71

Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Putintseva Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR64clayYulia Putintseva7-5 2-0
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR64clayYulia Putintseva6-3 4-6 6-2

Draw