Qinwen Zheng faces Yulia Putintseva in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Yulia Putintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #80, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64 — but Qinwen Zheng arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Yulia Putintseva's 2.
Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Zheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Putintseva Y.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | R64 | clay | Yulia Putintseva | 7-5 2-0 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Yulia Putintseva | 6-3 4-6 6-2 |
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About