Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng — US Open Round of 32
USA22
CHNQ
Keys M.
Qinwen Zheng defeated Madison Keys in the Round of 32 at the US Open, advancing with a 1-6, 7-6, 7-5 victory. Zheng converted 25% of her break points, while Keys converted 75%. Zheng secured 1 service break and committed 5 double faults, compared to Keys' 3 service breaks and 1 double fault.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Around the match
Keys mounted a dramatic comeback from 5-2 down in the third set, saving five match points to defeat Bondar 5-7, 6-4, 7-6(5) in a thrilling US Open second-round encounter.
Umpiry summary — not a quote
Keys M.WTA Tennis ↗“After the surgery it was not easy. It felt like I lost a bit of my energy on the tennis court. I've been through really tough moments these last three, four, five months. But we've been working really hard and the hard work finally paid off a bit.”
Zheng Q.WTA Tennis ↗“I obviously got off to a really good lead, and then I just got really scared, like I couldn't swing. Tennis just feels really hard right now. At the end, I think she just started playing better; I started playing poorly.”
Keys M.WTA Tennis ↗Zheng, returning from elbow surgery and having reached as low as No. 160 in rankings, has now won six straight matches at the US Open after qualifying, becoming the first qualifier to reach the fourth round since Raducanu in 2021.
Umpiry summary — not a quote
Zheng Q.WTA Tennis ↗
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Key context
- Match story: Qinwen Zheng dropped the opening set before beating Madison Keys 1–6 7–6 7–5.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | R32 | hard | Qinwen Zheng | 4-6 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-07-31 | Washington | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 7-5 6-1 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Keys M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.