Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Madison KeysEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#59WTA
1721ELO
1625Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#22WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWWW
Bouzas Maneiro J.
0-6 1-6
Keys M.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
010
Keys M.
662

Madison Keys defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-0, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at Eastbourne. Keys served 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 90% of her first serves and converting 44% of break points. She converted 4 service breaks to Maneiro's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
90
Break points saved·Dominant
4
85
Break points won·Even
93
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
34
94
Tiebreaks·
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bouzas Maneiro J.22%
Keys M.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Keys M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Grass Elo 1548
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1884
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
84

Bouzas Maneiro J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw