Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroAthens Round of 32

Athens · WTA · Round of 32
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLLLLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#52WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWLL
Zheng Q.
vs
Bouzas Maneiro J.

Qinwen Zheng faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Athens round of 32 on hard. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro holds the paper edge — ranked #52.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Zheng Q.73%
Bouzas Maneiro J.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1664
6.1Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1721
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
8.5Excels in hot weather
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

9 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
53
Break points saved·Dominant
96
53
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Zheng Q.Bouzas Maneiro J.
Serve
15
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Zheng Q.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.