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Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 16

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoQ16QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · ~03:45 UTCFinal1h 28m
Kimberly BirrellWTA #41 · AUS
Daria KasatkinaWTA #74 · AUS
SetsGames0
34
2
66

Daria Kasatkina defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-3, 6-4 in the second round of qualifying at the Toray Pan Pacific Open in Tokyo. Kasatkina hit one ace and seven double faults, while Birrell had two aces and two double faults. Kasatkina won 77 percent of her first-serve points and converted 57 percent of her break points, breaking Birrell's serve four times en route to the win.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Kasatkina D. took it in straight sets, breaking twice in each.

  • Breaks of serveKasatkina D. 4 · Birrell K. 2
  • 1st-serve points wonKasatkina D. 77% · Birrell K. 63%
  • AcesKasatkina D. 1 · Birrell K. 2

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 13–3Break backKasatkina D. · Broke back
  2. Set 13–5BreakKasatkina D. · Broke, never broken back
  3. Set 24–4Break backBirrell K. · Broke back
  4. Set 24–5BreakKasatkina D. · Broke, never broken back

Win probability during the match

i
0%Birrell K.
100%Kasatkina D.
Final · 3–6 4–6
0–11–11–22–23–23–33–43–53–60–10–21–22–32–43–44–44–54–6Set 1 · 3–6Set 2 · 4–6
  1. Break by Birrell K.
  2. Break by Kasatkina D.
  3. Break by Kasatkina D.
  4. Set won by Kasatkina D.
  5. Break by Kasatkina D.
  6. Break by Birrell K.
  7. Break by Kasatkina D.
  8. Set won by Kasatkina D.
Kimberly BirrellDaria Kasatkina
Recorded during the match
Serve flowBirrell K. broken 4 times · Kasatkina D. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Birrell K.
5/9Kasatkina D.
8/10
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Whole matchBirrell K.Kasatkina D.
EvenBirrell K.Kasatkina D.
Late momentumKasatkina D.43
5Last 12 points7
6Last 3 games13
1/1Break points2/4

Break of serve

Match statistics

Birrell K.Kasatkina D.
Serve
  • 2Aces1
  • 2Double faults7
  • 63%1st serve points won77%
  • 56% · 5/9Service games held80% · 8/10
Return
  • 50%Break points won57%
  • 2Breaks of serve4

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps
First-serve pointsKasatkina D. won 77% of points behind the first serve, Birrell K. 63%. Largest performance gap of the match.+14 ptsBirrell K.1st-serve pts won63%Kasatkina D.1st-serve pts won77%
Double faultsBirrell K. served 2 double faults, Kasatkina D. 7.+5Birrell K.2Kasatkina D.7

Common opponents

10 shared · last 12 months

Birrell K. and Kasatkina D. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Birrell K. went 6–7 (46%) against them, Kasatkina D. 5–6 (45%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).

6–746%Birrell K. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents5–645%Kasatkina D. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
15–15Sets15–15
143–138Games149–139
0–2Tiebreaks2–3
2–2Deciding sets3–5
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Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Birrell K.Kasatkina D.1 841ELO1 8631 749Hard ELO1 7477–3Last 103–728Age29170 cmHeight170 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $3.2M2026 $1.1MEarningsCareer $15.3M2026 $1.1M

Match info

  • Started~03:45 UTC
  • Duration1h 28m

Cite this

Daria Kasatkina beat Kimberly Birrell 3-6 4-6. Umpiry, "Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/birrell-vs-kasatkina-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).