Anastasia Potapova vs Daria Kasatkina — Brisbane Round of 64

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 64
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#27WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Potapova A.
7-5 4-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Potapova A.
7462
Kasatkina D.
5641

Anastasia Potapova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 4-6 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Kasatkina D.
11
Serve
0
52
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Potapova A.Kasatkina D.
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Potapova A.Kasatkina D.
Clutch Rating·Even
81
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
80
Break points won·Clear edge
88
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
57
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potapova A.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 102 days (−1.5)
Kasatkina D.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 102 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1757
5.8Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1795
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
7.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Potapova A.Kasatkina D.
Freshness·Slight edge
99
92

Potapova A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[16]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Muchova K.[11]
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.[16]
Pegula J.[4]
6-06-3
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[4]
Samsonova L.[10]
6-37-63
Muchova K.[11]
Rybakina E.[3]
6-22-66-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[5]
6-36-3
Kostyuk M.[16]
Andreeva M.[6]
7-676-3
R16
Keys M.[5]
Shnaider D.[12]
6-757-657-64
Rybakina E.[3]
Badosa P.[15]
6-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Yastremska D.
5-76-26-3
Samsonova L.[10]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-36-3
Andreeva M.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
5-76-47-5
Muchova K.[11]
Alexandrova E.[7]
6-47-5
Kostyuk M.[16]
Anisimova A.[2]
6-46-3
R32
Shnaider D.[12]
Potapova A.
6-16-3
Keys M.[5]
Kessler M.
6-46-3
Andreeva M.[6]
Gadecki O.
4-66-16-2
Noskova L.[9]
Frech M.
6-756-46-4
Alexandrova E.[7]
Kenin S.
7-626-3
Rybakina E.[3]
Zhang S.
6-37-5
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.
6-22-66-4
Cirstea S.
Ostapenko J.[14]
6-27-65
Kostyuk M.[16]
Putintseva Y.
6-756-16-0
Samsonova L.[10]
Jones E.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Sasnovich A.
Tauson C.[8]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[2]
Birrell K.
6-16-3
Badosa P.[15]
Bouzkova M.
6-746-46-2
Muchova K.[11]
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-17-65
Yastremska D.
Fernandez L.[13]
6-16-2
R64
Yastremska D.
Gibson T.
7-637-64
Birrell K.
Sramkova R.
6-43-66-3
Tomljanovic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Bucsa C.
Bondar A.
4-67-646-2
Kalinskaya A.
Valentova T.
6-46-4
Bouzkova M.
Cristian J.
6-46-3
Putintseva Y.
Baptiste H.
6-26-4
Sasnovich A.
Blinkova A.
7-56-1
Frech M.
Vondrousova M.
7-56-737-60
Jones E.
Maria T.
6-36-3
Kessler M.
Arango E.
6-16-3
Kenin S.
Ruse E.
6-44-66-3
Cirstea S.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-1
Gadecki O.
Li A.
6-46-4
Potapova A.
Kasatkina D.
7-54-66-4
Zhang S.
Krueger A.
6-45-76-4