Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrell — Eastbourne Qualifying Final
Stearns P.
Peyton Stearns faces Kimberly Birrell in the Eastbourne qualifying final on grass. Peyton Stearns holds the paper edge — ranked #64, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Peyton Stearns leads on Serve Rating (36), Kimberly Birrell on Return Rating (40).
- Last match: Kimberly Birrell edged Indianna Spink in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
- Fatigue load: Kimberly Birrell carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBirrell K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 1 · not before Not before 12:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Tomljanovic A. v Erjavec V.
- 2Stearns P. v Birrell K.This match
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Austin | SF | hard | Peyton Stearns | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R128 | clay | Peyton Stearns | 5-7 6-3 6-4 |