Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell — Nottingham Qualifying Final
Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Final
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Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
Katie Volynets faces Kimberly Birrell in the Nottingham qualifying final on grass. Kimberly Birrell holds the paper edge — ranked #74, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.
Key context
- Last match: Kimberly Birrell dropped just 5 games past Mingge Xu.
- Fatigue load: Katie Volynets carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Katie Volynets defends last year's round of 32; Kimberly Birrell defends last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTCVolynets K.48%
Birrell K.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1587
Surface ELO5.3+25 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap4.7Overall Elo 1752
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts6.0Reached the R32 here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form75%1st serve in+11%64%
59%1st serve points won+4%63%
43%2nd serve points won+1%42%
55%Service points won+1%56%
48%Return points won+2%46%
49%Break points saved+7%56%
1.5Aces / match+0.41.9
1.5Double faults / match+4.35.8
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw — qualifying
Final
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