Kimberly Birrell vs Petra MarcinkoAustin Round of 32

Austin · WTA · Round of 32
#72WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#47WTA
1745ELO
1639Hard ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Birrell K.
0-6 6-3 6-4
Marcinko P.
Birrell K.
0662
Marcinko P.
6341

Kimberly Birrell defeated Petra Marcinko 0-6 6-3 6-4 in the Austin round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Petra Marcinko came in ranked #47, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Kimberly Birrell claimed a first win over Petra Marcinko in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24EastbourneR16grassPetra Marcinko6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Birrell K.Marcinko P.
22
Serve
43
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
46%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
54
Break points won·Clear edge
83
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
93
Tiebreaks·
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+112 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1639
6.2Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
84

Birrell K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Marcinko P.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast