Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell — Eastbourne Round of 16
Marcinko P.
Petra Marcinko faces Kimberly Birrell in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Kimberly Birrell holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Birrell K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Petra Marcinko's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Kimberly Birrell's has cooled.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Petra Marcinko 139 games in 14 days, Kimberly Birrell 122.
- Last match: Petra Marcinko edged Antonia Ruzic in three tight sets (7–6 4–6 7–6).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMarcinko P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Birrell K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Austin | R32 | hard | Kimberly Birrell | 0-6 6-3 6-4 |