Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly BirrellEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#75WTA
1745ELO
1602Grass ELO
$782kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#60WTA
1754ELO
1602Grass ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.1MCAREER
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
Marcinko P.
6-1 6-4
Birrell K.
Marcinko P.
662
Birrell K.
140

Petra Marcinko advanced to the quarterfinals at Eastbourne, defeating Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 16. Marcinko won the match 6-1, 6-4, breaking Birrell's serve five times while Birrell converted two breaks. Marcinko's victory moved her into the next round.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-30US OpenR128hardKimberly Birrell3-6 7-6(4) 6-3
2026-02-23AustinR32hardKimberly Birrell0-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
35
Break points saved·Dominant
54
11
Break points won·Clear edge
95
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
78
Tiebreaks·
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marcinko P.41%
Birrell K.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Birrell K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1478
4.9Overall Elo 1612
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.73 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Birrell K.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw