Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
Petra Marcinko
CRO
Petra Marcinko
#53WTA
1745ELO
1602Grass ELO
$588kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
Kimberly Birrell
AUS
Kimberly Birrell
#66WTA
1754ELO
1602Grass ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLL
Marcinko P.
6-1 6-4
Birrell K.
Marcinko P.
662
Birrell K.
140

Petra Marcinko advanced to the quarterfinals at Eastbourne, defeating Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 16. Marcinko won the match 6-1, 6-4, breaking Birrell's serve five times while Birrell converted two breaks. Marcinko's victory moved her into the next round.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23AustinR32hardKimberly Birrell0-6 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
Marcinko P.Birrell K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Marcinko P.Birrell K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
39
Break points saved·Dominant
54
11
Break points won·Clear edge
95
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
83
Tiebreaks·
—
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Marcinko P.41%
Birrell K.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Birrell K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Marcinko P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Birrell K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Grass Elo 1478
4.9Overall Elo 1612
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.73 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Marcinko P.Birrell K.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
87

Marcinko P.: 20 days rest · Birrell K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw