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Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Semi-final

Ningbo Open - NingboSemi-finalHardSat 24 Oct · 15:00Center CourtLive
Odds

Fernandez L. a break up in the 1stFernandez L. unbroken · Bouzkova M. broken once

Leylah Fernandez faces Marie Bouzkova in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo semi-final on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Fernandez L.
—Bouzkova M.
Leylah FernandezMarie Bouzkova
Serve flowBouzkova M. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Fernandez L.
Bouzkova M.
0/1
Set 1
Match momentumLive

Too early to read the momentum

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Match statistics are not available for this match. They appear once the official scoring feed publishes them.

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Fernandez L. broke serve
Pre-match context

Fernandez L. came in with the higher hard rating (1847 vs 1800) and the better recent record (8–2 vs 7–3); Bouzkova M. with the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
51%49%
Umpiry Score
5.4/10/105.4
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 939
Hard ELO1 847
Last 108–2
Age24
Height168 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $9.0M2026 $1.6M
ELO1 983
Hard ELO1 800
Last 107–3
Age28
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $8.5M2026 $2.2M

Common opponents

13 shared · last 12 months

Fernandez L. and Bouzkova M. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fernandez L. went 11–6 (65%) against them, Bouzkova M. 7–9 (44%). Fernandez L. came out better against 5 of 13 comparable opponents, Bouzkova M. against 2.

11–665%Fernandez L. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents7–944%Bouzkova M. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
25–17Sets15–20
213–180Games154–174
0–2Tiebreaks3–1
5–3Deciding sets2–2
Show 10 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bouzkova M. leads 1–0
01

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Fernandez L.Bouzkova M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate50% (27–27)62% (36–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19391983 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1847 (ahead)1800
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)65%
Return points won42%45% (ahead)
Aces / match2.7 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 52 vs 55 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)58%

Draw

Conditions

Center Court · 15:00 local
SurfaceHard
Weather22°C · Overcast
Wind20 km/h
Humidity81%

Match info

  • Started15:00 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Fernandez L.Bouzkova M.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days3
88Games · 7 days59 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days5 — fresher
159Games · 14 days89 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/bouzkova-vs-fernandez-ningbo-open-ningbo-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).