Victoria Mboko vs Leylah FernandezStrasbourg Quarter-final

Strasbourg · WTA · Quarter-final
#10WTA
2006ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 21 May 2026 ·
clay
#24WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Mboko V.
6-4 6-4
Fernandez L.
Mboko V.
662
Fernandez L.
440

Victoria Mboko defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-4 6-4 in the Strasbourg quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Victoria Mboko came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Victoria Mboko extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Victoria Mboko edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Hong KongSFhardVictoria Mboko2-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mboko V.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Serve advantage — Mboko V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mboko V.Fernandez L.
Serve
47
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
4.6
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
97
87
Break points saved·Even
95
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
90
Tiebreaks·
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+154 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1702
7.6Overall Elo 2006
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast