Victoria Mboko vs Leylah FernandezHong Kong Semi-final

Hong Kong · WTA · Semi-final
#10WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Mboko V.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Fernandez L.
Mboko V.
2662
Fernandez L.
6321

Victoria Mboko defeated Leylah Fernandez 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Hong Kong semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Victoria Mboko came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Victoria Mboko extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21StrasbourgQFclayVictoria Mboko6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mboko V.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Serve advantage — Mboko V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mboko V.Fernandez L.
58
Serve
60
53
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
97
87
Break points saved·Even
95
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
90
Tiebreaks·
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+222 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1785
7.1Overall Elo 2006
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
2.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast