Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32
Why
Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mertens E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1894Supports Mertens E.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on hardSupports Mertens E.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Mertens E.
ELO2 023
Hard ELO1 855
Last 106–4
Age30
Height179 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $21.2M2026 $3.4M
ELO1 914
Hard ELO1 824
Last 107–3
Age24
Height168 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $9.0M2026 $1.6M
Elise Mertens faces Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Elise Mertens holds the paper edge — ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Elise Mertens comes in with 5 days of rest and 108 games in 14d, vs Leylah Fernandez's 3 and 71.
- Head-to-head: Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at Dubai 2025.
- Surface form: Elise Mertens 6 of 10, Leylah Fernandez 7 of 10 on hard recently — Leylah Fernandez the sharper of late.
Common opponents
10 shared · last 12 monthsMertens E. and Fernandez L. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mertens E. went 7–8 (47%) against them, Fernandez L. 6–9 (40%). Results against comparable opponents are close (5 : 3 better-results split).
7–847%Mertens E. · better vs 5Record vs common opponents6–940%Fernandez L. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
14–20Sets15–20
138–163Games164–172
2–0Tiebreaks1–3
3–1Deciding sets2–3
vs Rybakina E.#1W7-6 6-1Wimbledon · grassL7-6 4-6 6-7Stuttgart · clay
vs Andreeva M.#3L3-6 3-6Rome · clayL6-7 3-6Madrid · clay
vs Mboko V.#15W6-3 3-6 6-3United Cup · hardL6-2 3-6 2-6Hong Kong · hard
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vs Cirstea S.#16L3-6 2-6Miami · hardW6-4 6-4Hong Kong · hard
vs Osaka N.#18L1-6 2-6Toronto · hardL4-6 4-6Toronto · hard
vs Eala A.#19W6-2 6-1Madrid · clayW6-1 6-4Stuttgart · clay
vs Chwalinska M.#22L2-6 2-6Singapore · hardW1-6 6-4 6-2Singapore · hard
vs Ostapenko J.#34W6-2 3-6 6-3Beijing · hardL1-6 6-1 4-6Wuhan · hard- vs Samsonova L.#43W1-6 6-3 6-0Berlin · grassW5-7 7-5 6-3Dubai · hard
vs Kessler M.#95W7-6 2-6 3-3BJK Cup Qualifiers · hardL3-6 2-6Abu Dhabi · hard
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Mertens E. leads 2–121
- Mertens E.February 2025DubaiHard6-2 6-2
- Fernandez L.September 2023GuadalajaraHard6-3 6-4
- Mertens E.February 2021Australian OpenHard6-1 6-3
Evidence
Mertens E.Fernandez L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate63% (35–21) (ahead)47% (24–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2023 (ahead)1914
Hard-court ELO1855 (ahead)1824
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)66%
Return points won44% (ahead)42%
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)2.7
ClutchLast 54 vs 49 matches
Break points saved56%64% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/fernandez-vs-mertens-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).