Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezDubai Round of 64

Dubai · WTA · Round of 64
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 February 2025
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Mertens E.
6-2 6-2
Fernandez L.
Mertens E.
662
Fernandez L.
220

Elise Mertens defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-2 6-2 in the Dubai round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, defending last year's round of 32. Elise Mertens extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-18GuadalajaraR32hardLeylah Fernandez6-3 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardElise Mertens6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Fernandez L.
51
Serve
60
54
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
95
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
90
Tiebreaks·Even
75
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1785
5.4Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1805
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.1
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
4.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
98

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw