UMPIRY
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Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 16

Ningbo Open - NingboR16HardWed 21 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Shnaider D.
39%61%

Shnaider D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Eala A.6.0/10
Even match
Shnaider D.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
SurfaceHard Elo 1832Informative
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1895Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Shnaider D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 983
Hard ELO1 817
Last 105–5
Age21
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.4M2026 $2.0M
ELO2 036
Hard ELO1 871
Last 107–3
Age22
Height170 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $7.2M2026 $3.0M

Alexandra Eala faces Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 16 on hard. Diana Shnaider holds the paper edge — ranked #13.

Key context

Common opponents

18 shared · last 12 months

Eala A. and Shnaider D. faced 18 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Eala A. went 13–12 (52%) against them, Shnaider D. 9–14 (39%). Results against comparable opponents are close (7 : 4 better-results split).

13–1252%Eala A. · better vs 7Record vs common opponents9–1439%Shnaider D. · better vs 4
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
29–27Sets22–28
258–249Games231–239
2–1Tiebreaks2–5
3–3Deciding sets0–4
Show 15 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Eala A.Shnaider D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate65% (42–23) (ahead)61% (33–21)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19832036 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO18171871 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 64 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won63%64% (ahead)
Return points won45%45%
Aces / match1.31.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 64 vs 53 matches
Break points saved56%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind20 km/h
Humidity71%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Eala A.Shnaider D.
1Days since last match4 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
16 — fresherGames · 7 days73
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
44 — fresherGames · 14 days73
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/eala-vs-shnaider-ningbo-open-ningbo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).