Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 64
Alejandro Tabilo faces Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. Alejandro Tabilo is the paper favourite — ranked #30, defending last year's round of 64 — but Pablo Carreno Busta has won both their previous meetings. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Alejandro Tabilo comes in with 7 days of rest and 46 games in 14d, vs Pablo Carreno Busta's 2 and 89.
- Serve & return: Alejandro Tabilo leads on Serve Rating (46), Pablo Carreno Busta on Return Rating (54).
- Last match: Pablo Carreno Busta dropped the opening set before beating Mariano Navone 4–6 7–5 6–3.
Serve flowTabilo A. broken once · Carreno-Busta P. broken twice.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsTabilo A.Carreno-Busta P.Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 2 · Game 6Carreno-Busta P. broke serve
- BREAKSet 2 · Game 5Tabilo A. broke serve
- SETSet 1 · Game 10Tabilo A. took the set
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Tabilo A. broke serve
Tabilo A. came in with the higher hard rating (1815 vs 1789); Carreno-Busta P. with the head-to-head lead (2–0).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playCommon opponents
10 shared · last 12 monthsTabilo A. and Carreno-Busta P. faced 10 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tabilo A. went 6–8 (43%) against them, Carreno-Busta P. 6–6 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 3 better-results split).
vs Medvedev D.#5L4-6 2-6Indian Wells Masters · hardL4-6 2-6Beijing · hard
vs Jodar R.#13L7-6(6) 4-6 4-6Washington · hardL6-3 3-6 6-1 3-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Lehecka J.#19L6-3 6-7 4-6Madrid Masters · clayW6-3 6-3Roland Garros · clay
Show 7 more ▾Show less ▴
- vs Rublev A.#23L4-6 6-4 4-6Bastad · clayL6-7(5) 1-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Shapovalov D.#42L5-7 6-3 4-6Tokyo · hardW6-3 7-6 0-0Wimbledon · grass
vs Tirante T.#54W7-6 6-7 6-1Rio de Janeiro · clayW7-5 3-6 6-4Roland Garros · clay
vs Struff J.#59W6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hardW6-4 7-6ESP vs GER · hard
vs Mannarino A.#83L4-6 4-6Chengdu · hardW6-3 6-4Beijing · hard- vs Royer V.#105W6-2 6-4Madrid Masters · clayL6-1 5-7 2-6Montreal · hard
vs Fucsovics M.#134W6-4 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · clayW4-6 7-6 6-2Madrid Masters · clay
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Carreno-Busta P. leads 2–0- Carreno-Busta P.October 2025Olbia CHHard6-3 1-6 7-6
- Carreno-Busta P.January 2022Atp CupHard6-4 7-6
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Shanghai Masters Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/busta-vs-tabilo-shanghai-masters-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).