Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliona Falei — Istanbul 2 Quarter-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CZE
Vendula Valdmannova
#206WTA
1608ELO
1602Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWWLWLW
—
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
BLR
Aliona Falei
#230WTA
1511ELO
1514Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
WWLLLWLLLW
Valdmannova V.
vs
Falei A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Valdmannova V.68%
Falei A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valdmannova V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Valdmannova V.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Falei A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+88 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1514
5.3Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1510
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Valdmannova V.Cooling
Falei A.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
Valdmannova V.Falei A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Valdmannova V.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Falei A.

Falei A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Valdmannova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Valdmannova V.Falei A.
Freshness·Dominant
90
63

Valdmannova V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Falei A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Zakharova A.[1]
Tkacheva M.
6-43-66-4
Shubladze A.
Shinikova I.
7-57-64
Khomutsianskaya D.
Nugroho P.
6-46-1
Bai Z.
Prozorova T.[8]
3-61-6
Vandewinkel H.[3]
Lee C.
6-36-3
Dilek D.
Falkowska W.
7-56-762-6
Tan H.
Havlickova L.
6-736-36-3
Gasanova A.
Bandecchi S.[7]
7-636-4
Fruhvirtova L.[6]
Gao X.
6-786-43-6
Aksu A.
Valdmannova V.
5-70-6
Penickova K.
Thandi K.
3-67-646-4
Falei A.
Yuan Y.
5-76-26-2
Iatcenko P.[5]
Zvonareva V.
3-65-7
Hruncakova V.
Buyukakcay C.
6-06-4
Knutson G.
Kurt I.
6-44-66-0
Okamura K.
Tararudee L.[2]
2-61-6
Zakharova A.[1]
Shubladze A.
7-667-62
Khomutsianskaya D.
Prozorova T.[8]
4-63-6
Vandewinkel H.[3]
Falkowska W.
6-43-66-4
Tan H.
Gasanova A.
6-16-4
Gao X.
Valdmannova V.
4-63-6
Penickova K.
Falei A.
5-76-33-6
Zvonareva V.
Hruncakova V.
7-646-3
Knutson G.
Tararudee L.[2]
6-44-61-6
Zakharova A.
Prozorova T.
Vandewinkel H.[3]
Tan H.
Valdmannova V.
Falei A.
Zvonareva V.
Tararudee L.
—
—
—