Vera Zvonareva vs Lanlana TararudeeIstanbul 2 Quarter-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
1693ELO
1659Hard ELO
41 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWLW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
#91WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWLL
Zvonareva V.
vs
Tararudee L.

Vera Zvonareva faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Istanbul 2 quarter-final on hard. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Zvonareva V.56%
Tararudee L.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zvonareva V.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Tararudee L.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Zvonareva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
72
Break points saved·Even
79
77
Break points won·Slight edge
94
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
77
Tiebreaks·
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
73

Zvonareva V.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Tararudee L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.