Zhuoxuan Bai vs Tatiana ProzorovaIstanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#263WTA
1584ELO
1565Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#171WTA
1674ELO
1659Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWLWL
Bai Z.
vs
Prozorova T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Bai Z.21%
Prozorova T.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Prozorova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
6.2+94 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bai Z.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bai Z.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Prozorova T.

Prozorova T.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bai Z.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Bai Z.: 18 days rest · Prozorova T.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.