Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Lanlana TararudeeIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#91WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLLL
Knutson G.
vs
Tararudee L.

Gabriela Andrea Knutson faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Istanbul 2 round of 16 on hard. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Knutson G.24%
Tararudee L.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tararudee L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1467
Surface ELO
7.7+219 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1678
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Knutson G.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Tararudee L.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Knutson G.

Serve advantage — Tararudee L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
70
Break points saved·Even
80
77
Break points won·Clear edge
69
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
74
Tiebreaks·
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Knutson G.: 20 days rest · Tararudee L.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 41%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.