Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan BandecchiIstanbul 2

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER
#225WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWLLW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#168WTA
1624ELO
1549Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWL
Gasanova A.
vs
Bandecchi S.

Anastasia Gasanova faces Susan Bandecchi in the Istanbul 2 match on hard. Susan Bandecchi holds the paper edge — ranked #168, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Gasanova A.17%
Bandecchi S.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bandecchi S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1484
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
48%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gasanova A.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Bandecchi S.

Bandecchi S.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Gasanova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
58
Break points saved·Dominant
21
54
Break points won·Clear edge
100
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Gasanova A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bandecchi S.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.