Alexandra Shubladze vs Isabella ShinikovaIstanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#188WTA
1515ELO
1497Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT B · 1st on
#381WTA
1346ELO
1365Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLWWW
Shubladze A.
vs
Shinikova I.

Alexandra Shubladze faces Isabella Shinikova in the Istanbul 2 round of 32 on hard. Alexandra Shubladze holds the paper edge — ranked #188, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC
Shubladze A.78%
Shinikova I.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shubladze A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+132 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1364
8.1Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1346
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.59 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

46 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shubladze A.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Shinikova I.

Shinikova I.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Shubladze A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Shubladze A.: 20 days rest · Shinikova I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT B · not before Starting at 1:00 PM · up next on court

  1. 1Shubladze A. v Shinikova I.This match
  2. 3Falei A. v Yuan Y.

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.