Hanne Vandewinkel vs Carol Young Suh LeeIstanbul 2

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER
#103WTA
1690ELO
1730Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWWLLLL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
hard
#203WTA
1542ELO
1546Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
LLLLWLWLWW
Vandewinkel H.
vs
Lee C.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Vandewinkel H.84%
Lee C.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Vandewinkel H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+184 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1546
5.6Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1542
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandewinkel H.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Lee C.

Lee C.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Vandewinkel H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
70
80
Break points won·Even
91
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
72
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Vandewinkel H.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lee C.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.