Kyoka Okamura vs Lanlana Tararudee — Istanbul 2
Okamura K.
Kyoka Okamura faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Istanbul 2 match on hard. Lanlana Tararudee holds the paper edge — ranked #99, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Tararudee L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Lanlana Tararudee has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 70 vs 12).
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Kyoka Okamura rising, Lanlana Tararudee cooling.
- Fatigue load: Lanlana Tararudee carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTararudee L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.