Facundo Mena vs Tristan Mccormick — Bogota Round of 16
Mena F.
Facundo Mena faces Tristan Mccormick in the Bogota round of 16 on clay. Facundo Mena holds the paper edge — a roughly 320-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Mena F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Facundo Mena dropped the opening set before beating Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni 3–6 6–3 7–5.
- Last match: Tristan Mccormick advanced when Pedro Sakamoto retired.
- Fatigue load: Facundo Mena carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMena F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.